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Red392
2283129.3
4635179.3
6702117.3
Blue252
4401131.1
7018126.4
3472130.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338296200400500600392252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.30.9
178.4179.3
Auto29.9
Teleop136.7
End14.7
red by 48.3
131.10.7
130.4131.1
Auto16.7
Teleop102.1
End18.0
Second
129.31.2
128.1129.3
Auto14.5
Teleop104.9
End14.4
blue by 0.8
3472
#15
130.10.6
129.5130.1
Auto15.9
Teleop101.4
End16.1
Third
6702
#30
117.30.6
116.7117.3
Auto15.4
Teleop89.9
End15.0
blue by 9.1
126.40.7
125.7126.4
Auto15.5
Teleop105.7
End7.3