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Red289
7217106.5
7018126.4
6647154.5
Blue401
2283129.3
4723101.4
4401131.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291262100150200350400450289401

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
154.50.2
142.9142.7
Auto19.6
Teleop118.9
End17.6
red by 23.5
131.11.5
114.1115.6
Auto16.7
Teleop102.1
End18.0
Second
126.450.5
128.277.7
Auto15.5
Teleop105.7
End7.3
blue by 2.9
129.30.3
97.497.7
Auto14.5
Teleop104.9
End14.4
Third
7217
#20
106.528.8
106.577.7
Auto16.4
Teleop82.7
End5.1
red by 5.1
4723
#22
101.416.4
71.387.7
Auto15.5
Teleop79.3
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed