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Red159
5959126.9
379497.6
3480132.8
Blue209
4401131.1
703790.5
4603144.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2292900100200400500159209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3480
#12
132.86.5
94.8101.3
Auto18.5
Teleop92.5
End23.2
blue by 12.1
144.90.6
136.2136.7
Auto14.6
Teleop118.1
End11.4
Second
5959
#18
126.910.4
86.396.7
Auto16.3
Teleop100.7
End8.2
blue by 4.2
131.10.6
117.0117.6
Auto16.7
Teleop102.1
End18.0
Third
3794
#39Sur
97.61.9
107.0105.1
Auto11.9
Teleop80.1
End4.1
red by 7.2
7037
#41
90.58.0
87.095.0
Auto12.1
Teleop76.6
End-2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed