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Qual 242018 Laguna Regional
Red275
5312117.6
4262111.1
3354147.6
Blue262
6896124.7
6647154.5
683288.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2992350100200400500275262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3354
#8
147.62.4
140.3→142.7
Auto17.4
Teleop113.2
End18.1
blue by 6.9
6647
#5
154.50.9
141.3→140.4
Auto19.6
Teleop118.9
End17.6
Second
5312
#19
117.61.5
117.6→116.2
Auto16.6
Teleop93.3
End8.2
blue by 7.1
6896
#25
124.76.5
95.3→101.9
Auto13.0
Teleop102.6
End7.8
Third
4262
#28
111.13.6
93.7→97.4
Auto15.0
Teleop84.5
End14.6
red by 22.4
6832
#40
88.70.7
91.1→91.8
Auto13.4
Teleop72.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed