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Red300
6606118.8
4401131.1
3472130.1
Blue258
379497.6
3933146.9
6896124.7
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225277100150200250300350400450300258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131.11.1
119.0120.0
Auto16.7
Teleop102.1
End18.0
blue by 15.8
3933
#16
146.91.4
143.4144.8
Auto18.3
Teleop114.4
End11.2
Second
3472
#15
130.10.4
125.9125.4
Auto15.9
Teleop101.4
End16.1
red by 5.4
6896
#25
124.73.5
107.7111.2
Auto13.0
Teleop102.6
End7.8
Third
6606
#23
118.80.7
109.1109.8
Auto16.8
Teleop87.8
End13.1
red by 21.2
3794
#39
97.60.6
103.5103.0
Auto11.9
Teleop80.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed