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Red213
6837102.1
7040104.5
3480132.8
Blue214
6708111.0
6896124.7
6606118.8
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2612390100200300400500600213214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3480
#12
132.83.8
117.2121.0
Auto18.5
Teleop92.5
End23.2
red by 8.1
6896
#25
124.73.0
111.2114.2
Auto13.0
Teleop102.6
End7.8
Second
7040
#33
104.52.2
99.4101.6
Auto12.8
Teleop81.9
End9.7
blue by 14.3
6606
#23
118.82.4
109.8112.3
Auto16.8
Teleop87.8
End13.1
Third
6837
#35
102.11.8
108.7106.9
Auto14.3
Teleop80.0
End4.0
blue by 8.9
6708
#13
111.01.4
95.997.3
Auto16.0
Teleop78.0
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed