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Red94
4262111.1
379497.6
5526120.3
Blue261
3480132.8
6444106.6
6199107.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22726710020030040050094261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120.30.6
116.3116.9
Auto19.8
Teleop93.8
End8.3
blue by 12.5
3480
#12
132.82.4
121.0123.4
Auto18.5
Teleop92.5
End23.2
Second
4262
#28
111.13.1
101.7104.8
Auto15.0
Teleop84.5
End14.6
red by 3.4
107.71.1
107.9109.0
Auto14.2
Teleop82.8
End6.7
Third
3794
#39
97.60.3
102.7102.4
Auto11.9
Teleop80.1
End4.1
blue by 9.0
6444
#17
106.60.8
101.0101.9
Auto14.7
Teleop84.3
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsEarned12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed