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Red568
3354147.6
5526120.3
2283129.3
Blue204
6608109.6
6837102.1
379497.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3651700100200300400500600568204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
147.60.4
147.6147.2
Auto17.4
Teleop113.2
End18.1
red by 38.0
6608
#14
109.60.4
109.9109.6
Auto15.4
Teleop84.2
End8.3
Second
129.33.4
119.0122.4
Auto14.5
Teleop104.9
End14.4
red by 27.2
6837
#35
102.11.3
103.4102.1
Auto14.3
Teleop80.0
End4.0
Third
120.30.9
118.0118.9
Auto19.8
Teleop93.8
End8.3
red by 22.7
3794
#39
97.60.8
98.497.6
Auto11.9
Teleop80.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed