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Red391
2283129.3
4635179.3
6702117.3
Blue279
3480132.8
6647154.5
6708111.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344321250300400450500391279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.30.9
175.7176.6
Auto29.9
Teleop136.7
End14.7
red by 24.8
154.51.0
152.6153.7
Auto19.6
Teleop118.9
End17.6
Second
129.31.1
124.8125.9
Auto14.5
Teleop104.9
End14.4
blue by 3.5
3480
#12
132.80.8
131.4132.2
Auto18.5
Teleop92.5
End23.2
Third
6702
#30
117.30.5
115.2115.6
Auto15.4
Teleop89.9
End15.0
red by 6.3
6708
#13
111.01.0
109.2110.2
Auto16.0
Teleop78.0
End18.2