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Qual 192018 NC District UNC Asheville Event
Red342
2059211.2
476796.8
5919111.7
Blue411
6908137.3
6639123.1
4561190.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262337100200300400500600342411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2059
#3
211.22.7
185.4→188.1
Auto23.8
Teleop166.8
End19.9
red by 20.3
4561
#2
190.91.6
176.4→178.0
Auto24.7
Teleop140.1
End28.7
Second
5919
#16
111.70.3
101.8→102.1
Auto17.3
Teleop82.4
End16.7
blue by 25.5
6908
#4
137.31.2
124.0→125.2
Auto15.0
Teleop112.1
End9.5
Third
4767
#27
96.83.7
97.5→101.3
Auto15.9
Teleop76.2
End5.8
blue by 26.3
6639
#30
123.14.4
113.5→117.9
Auto15.0
Teleop95.1
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed