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Qual 222018 NC District UNC Asheville Event
Red151
6502148.2
3196119.0
384591.0
Blue429
3229137.3
5544148.0
3661105.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267269150200250300350400151429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6502
#18
148.23.6
137.8→141.4
Auto18.7
Teleop110.5
End18.8
red by 0.2
5544
#7
148.01.5
128.0→129.5
Auto19.2
Teleop111.7
End17.3
Second
3196
#10
119.00.6
116.9→117.5
Auto17.2
Teleop96.7
End5.8
blue by 18.3
3229
#8
137.30.7
135.2→135.9
Auto19.6
Teleop97.9
End20.8
Third
3845
#32DQ
91.00.5
93.6→94.1
Auto13.0
Teleop73.0
End3.1
blue by 14.1
3661
#6
105.11.6
99.2→97.6
Auto15.5
Teleop80.3
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed72%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed