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Red154
3196119.0
4828112.7
587121.1
Blue422
6932110.3
1225121.5
2059211.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223349100300400500600700154422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#20
121.10.4
120.5120.1
Auto18.3
Teleop87.2
End15.9
blue by 90.1
211.23.2
194.5197.7
Auto23.8
Teleop166.8
End19.9
Second
3196
#10
119.00.1
117.2117.2
Auto17.2
Teleop96.7
End5.8
blue by 2.5
1225
#31
121.50.5
121.5121.0
Auto13.2
Teleop96.1
End13.1
Third
4828
#23
112.70.3
109.4109.1
Auto16.6
Teleop85.4
End10.6
red by 2.4
6932
#28
110.30.6
98.497.8
Auto14.0
Teleop85.5
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed