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Red328
476796.8
5679124.4
5190205.7
Blue267
3196119.0
1225121.5
1533151.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323274100200400500600328267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
205.72.7
193.4196.1
Auto25.4
Teleop153.4
End25.9
red by 54.0
1533
#11
151.75.0
133.9138.9
Auto24.9
Teleop116.9
End11.2
Second
124.42.0
118.5120.5
Auto16.6
Teleop92.1
End18.2
red by 2.9
1225
#31
121.50.6
121.0121.5
Auto13.2
Teleop96.1
End13.1
Third
4767
#27
96.80.9
102.0101.1
Auto15.9
Teleop76.2
End5.8
blue by 22.2
3196
#10
119.00.5
117.2116.7
Auto17.2
Teleop96.7
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed