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Red152
6639123.1
384591.0
1533151.7
Blue190
5511130.2
6888118.4
1261121.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2723000100200400500600152190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#11
151.72.5
138.9141.4
Auto24.9
Teleop116.9
End11.2
red by 21.5
5511
#21
130.20.3
134.2134.0
Auto15.1
Teleop108.0
End5.0
Second
6639
#30
123.10.3
126.6126.2
Auto15.0
Teleop95.1
End12.2
red by 1.9
121.20.9
117.4118.3
Auto17.3
Teleop92.3
End11.4
Third
3845
#32
91.01.6
93.094.6
Auto13.0
Teleop73.0
End3.1
blue by 27.4
6888
#13
118.42.4
117.0119.4
Auto15.0
Teleop95.3
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed