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Red70
5511130.2
476796.8
727087.8
Blue212
7265104.6
5679124.4
6888118.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions238304010020040050060070212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5511
#21
130.20.8
134.0133.2
Auto15.1
Teleop108.0
End5.0
red by 5.7
124.41.3
122.1123.4
Auto16.6
Teleop92.1
End18.2
Second
4767
#27
96.81.6
100.899.2
Auto15.9
Teleop76.2
End5.8
blue by 21.6
6888
#13
118.40.5
119.4119.8
Auto15.0
Teleop95.3
End6.8
Third
7270
#29
87.80.5
86.186.6
Auto13.2
Teleop71.8
End7.5
blue by 16.8
7265
#17
104.61.7
97.499.0
Auto15.3
Teleop78.0
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed