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Red84
384591.0
6908137.3
3229137.3
Blue393
3196119.0
633295.8
5544148.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292252010020040050060070084393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
137.30.3
139.7139.4
Auto19.6
Teleop97.9
End20.8
blue by 10.7
148.01.5
140.6142.2
Auto19.2
Teleop111.7
End17.3
Second
137.31.7
136.2137.9
Auto15.0
Teleop112.1
End9.5
red by 18.3
3196
#10
119.00.4
116.1115.7
Auto17.2
Teleop96.7
End5.8
Third
3845
#32
91.00.2
94.694.8
Auto13.0
Teleop73.0
End3.1
blue by 4.8
6332
#15
95.80.6
95.795.0
Auto17.8
Teleop77.0
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsMissed62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed