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Qual 552018 NC District UNC Asheville Event
Red263
384591.0
2059211.2
5679124.4
Blue212
3680101.4
6888118.4
4828112.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3672330100200300400500600700263212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2059
#3
211.21.9
207.0→208.9
Auto23.8
Teleop166.8
End19.9
red by 92.8
6888
#13
118.40.0
119.8→119.8
Auto15.0
Teleop95.3
End6.8
Second
5679
#9
124.40.5
123.4→123.9
Auto16.6
Teleop92.1
End18.2
red by 11.7
4828
#23
112.71.5
110.2→111.7
Auto16.6
Teleop85.4
End10.6
Third
3845
#32
91.02.0
94.8→92.8
Auto13.0
Teleop73.0
End3.1
blue by 10.4
3680
#25
101.41.3
100.1→101.3
Auto15.8
Teleop76.5
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed62%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed