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Red340
5511130.2
4561190.9
6908137.3
Blue265
6639123.1
5727111.2
5190205.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3382980100200400500600340265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190.91.4
184.6186.1
Auto24.7
Teleop140.1
End28.7
blue by 14.8
205.72.2
200.4202.5
Auto25.4
Teleop153.4
End25.9
Second
137.30.1
137.9137.8
Auto15.0
Teleop112.1
End9.5
red by 14.1
6639
#30
123.10.9
125.2124.2
Auto15.0
Teleop95.1
End12.2
Third
5511
#21
130.21.0
132.4131.4
Auto15.1
Teleop108.0
End5.0
red by 19.0
5727
#26
111.21.0
110.0111.0
Auto14.3
Teleop81.7
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed