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Red194
633295.8
6888118.4
1225121.5
Blue243
1261121.2
4935138.5
621494.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2522840100200400500194243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1225
#31
121.50.0
121.8121.8
Auto13.2
Teleop96.1
End13.1
blue by 17.0
4935
#14
138.50.1
138.7138.6
Auto18.0
Teleop110.2
End9.9
Second
6888
#13
118.40.8
119.8119.0
Auto15.0
Teleop95.3
End6.8
blue by 2.8
121.21.0
119.1120.1
Auto17.3
Teleop92.3
End11.4
Third
6332
#15
95.80.2
95.595.8
Auto17.8
Teleop77.0
End-0.6
red by 1.2
6214
#22
94.61.2
93.594.6
Auto16.8
Teleop75.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed