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Red350
5544148.0
1261121.2
5727111.2
Blue182
6502148.2
6003132.8
7265104.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2992580100200400500600700350182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.01.5
123.8125.3
Auto19.2
Teleop111.7
End17.3
blue by 0.2
6502
#18
148.27.6
121.3128.9
Auto18.7
Teleop110.5
End18.8
Second
121.21.4
119.4118.0
Auto17.3
Teleop92.3
End11.4
blue by 11.6
6003
#19
132.80.6
117.8118.4
Auto14.1
Teleop99.7
End19.3
Third
5727
#26
111.211.5
82.493.9
Auto14.3
Teleop81.7
End17.5
red by 6.5
7265
#17
104.60.0
91.691.6
Auto15.3
Teleop78.0
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed