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Semifinal 2-12018 NC District UNC Asheville Event
Red402
1533151.7
4561190.9
6502148.2
Blue266
5544148.0
6908137.3
6003132.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions388277100200500600402266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4561
#2
190.90.5
188.3→188.8
Auto24.7
Teleop140.1
End28.7
red by 42.9
5544
#7
148.00.5
147.1→147.6
Auto19.2
Teleop111.7
End17.3
Second
1533
#11
151.70.8
147.7→148.6
Auto24.9
Teleop116.9
End11.2
red by 14.4
6908
#4
137.30.2
137.6→137.4
Auto15.0
Teleop112.1
End9.5
Third
6502
#18
148.20.0
147.9→147.9
Auto18.7
Teleop110.5
End18.8
red by 15.4
6003
#19
132.80.4
132.1→132.5
Auto14.1
Teleop99.7
End19.3