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Red428
5190212.5
1533192.1
3229135.5
Blue280
4561199.3
6502173.5
587126.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402324100200500600700428280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
212.50.4
212.0212.5
Auto24.4
Teleop160.6
End27.5
red by 13.1
4561
#10
199.30.1
199.2199.3
Auto24.6
Teleop144.6
End31.7
Second
192.10.1
192.1192.1
Auto25.3
Teleop140.3
End29.1
red by 18.6
173.50.4
173.1173.5
Auto23.8
Teleop135.1
End14.8
Third
3229
#19
135.50.1
135.6135.5
Auto17.7
Teleop94.6
End21.8
red by 8.7
587
#14
126.80.2
126.6126.8
Auto18.2
Teleop92.9
End15.1