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Quarterfinal 3-12018 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red439
4561199.3
6502173.5
587126.8
Blue253
3506140.1
4795171.8
6908136.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384298100200500600439253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4561
#10
199.30.2
198.2→198.4
Auto24.6
Teleop144.6
End31.7
red by 27.5
4795
#11
171.80.0
171.8→171.8
Auto23.3
Teleop126.5
End22.6
Second
6502
#2
173.50.6
170.2→170.8
Auto23.8
Teleop135.1
End14.8
red by 33.4
3506
#23
140.10.0
140.1→140.1
Auto15.8
Teleop112.2
End11.2
Third
587
#14
126.80.3
124.9→125.3
Auto18.2
Teleop92.9
End15.1
blue by 9.5
6908
#21
136.30.1
136.4→136.4
Auto15.8
Teleop110.6
End7.4