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Red327
2059214.7
2655185.1
2682161.4
Blue426
3459152.8
5160134.2
5190212.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394331100200300500600700327426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
214.70.7
210.0210.7
Auto24.8
Teleop169.7
End17.0
red by 2.2
212.50.4
206.1206.4
Auto24.4
Teleop160.6
End27.5
Second
185.11.2
182.8183.9
Auto22.6
Teleop140.9
End18.8
red by 32.3
3459
#15
152.80.9
147.8148.7
Auto17.7
Teleop116.5
End19.6
Third
2682
#12
161.40.3
158.1158.4
Auto18.3
Teleop120.0
End21.6
red by 27.2
5160
#28
134.20.1
135.8135.9
Auto16.9
Teleop98.6
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsEarned