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Red272
3196137.4
6500136.9
4935135.2
Blue394
2682161.4
3737156.3
1533192.1
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232419100300500600700800272394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3196
#13
137.42.6
121.9124.4
Auto17.7
Teleop107.7
End14.9
blue by 54.7
192.12.5
185.5188.0
Auto25.3
Teleop140.3
End29.1
Second
6500
#30
136.90.7
133.5134.2
Auto16.6
Teleop105.9
End13.2
blue by 24.5
2682
#12
161.40.6
158.4157.8
Auto18.3
Teleop120.0
End21.6
Third
4935
#27
135.20.4
137.9137.5
Auto17.6
Teleop105.8
End12.6
blue by 21.1
156.31.0
147.3148.2
Auto21.6
Teleop105.4
End29.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned