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Qual 32018 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red378
6003133.8
6908136.3
4290169.1
Blue164
3196137.4
2059214.7
5511128.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295329200250350400450378164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4290
#6
169.10.4
150.8→151.3
Auto20.3
Teleop128.5
End20.4
blue by 45.6
2059
#8
214.70.0
211.2→211.2
Auto24.8
Teleop169.7
End17.0
Second
6908
#21
136.30.5
137.3→136.7
Auto15.8
Teleop110.6
End7.4
blue by 1.2
3196
#13
137.41.0
119.0→119.9
Auto17.7
Teleop107.7
End14.9
Third
6003
#17
133.80.8
132.8→133.6
Auto16.2
Teleop101.4
End13.2
red by 5.8
5511
#18
128.00.2
130.2→130.0
Auto16.7
Teleop106.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed83%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed