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Red416
4561199.3
587126.8
2655185.1
Blue188
6502173.5
3459152.8
6932116.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38032202006008001,000416188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4561
#10
199.30.9
195.2196.1
Auto24.6
Teleop144.6
End31.7
red by 25.8
173.51.7
167.2168.9
Auto23.8
Teleop135.1
End14.8
Second
185.10.3
184.2184.5
Auto22.6
Teleop140.9
End18.8
red by 32.3
3459
#15
152.81.1
150.6151.7
Auto17.7
Teleop116.5
End19.6
Third
587
#14
126.80.2
123.7124.0
Auto18.2
Teleop92.9
End15.1
red by 10.0
6932
#32
116.80.6
117.8118.4
Auto16.1
Teleop89.2
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed