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Qual 472018 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red168
587126.8
3506140.1
4828116.5
Blue386
3737156.3
5511128.0
4795171.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2613540100200300400500600700168386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3506
#23
140.10.3
142.2→141.9
Auto15.8
Teleop112.2
End11.2
blue by 31.7
4795
#11
171.80.2
171.4→171.2
Auto23.3
Teleop126.5
End22.6
Second
587
#14
126.81.0
124.7→125.7
Auto18.2
Teleop92.9
End15.1
blue by 29.5
3737
#4
156.31.0
152.1→153.1
Auto21.6
Teleop105.4
End29.0
Third
4828
#25
116.50.1
120.1→120.1
Auto17.4
Teleop92.4
End6.8
blue by 11.5
5511
#18
128.00.4
126.6→126.2
Auto16.7
Teleop106.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsEarned