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Red365
4828116.5
2682161.4
900145.4
Blue353
6215114.3
5160134.2
4561199.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281369100200400500600365353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2682
#12
161.40.8
155.0155.8
Auto18.3
Teleop120.0
End21.6
blue by 37.9
4561
#10
199.31.5
190.9192.4
Auto24.6
Teleop144.6
End31.7
Second
900
#9
145.40.0
140.8140.8
Auto18.6
Teleop106.6
End20.8
red by 11.1
5160
#28
134.20.1
136.8136.9
Auto16.9
Teleop98.6
End18.1
Third
4828
#25
116.50.8
112.7113.5
Auto17.4
Teleop92.4
End6.8
red by 2.2
6215
#31
114.30.8
118.7119.5
Auto15.5
Teleop86.2
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed