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Qual 572018 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red230
3229135.5
3459152.8
5511128.0
Blue364
5190212.5
3196137.4
6908136.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions238385100200300500600700230364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3459
#15
152.80.5
151.7→152.1
Auto17.7
Teleop116.5
End19.6
blue by 59.7
5190
#3
212.51.0
208.3→209.3
Auto24.4
Teleop160.6
End27.5
Second
3229
#19
135.50.4
138.0→137.6
Auto17.7
Teleop94.6
End21.8
blue by 1.9
3196
#13
137.41.7
132.4→134.0
Auto17.7
Teleop107.7
End14.9
Third
5511
#18
128.00.7
126.5→127.1
Auto16.7
Teleop106.6
End4.3
blue by 8.2
6908
#21
136.30.6
135.0→135.6
Auto15.8
Teleop110.6
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed