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Red275
5511128.0
6932116.8
5160134.2
Blue324
5544160.5
4935135.2
6003133.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242367100200300400500600700275324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5160
#28
134.21.7
136.7135.0
Auto16.9
Teleop98.6
End18.1
blue by 26.3
5544
#16
160.50.5
161.3160.8
Auto18.0
Teleop125.1
End16.1
Second
5511
#18
128.00.4
127.1127.6
Auto16.7
Teleop106.6
End4.3
blue by 7.2
4935
#27
135.20.3
135.5135.2
Auto17.6
Teleop105.8
End12.6
Third
6932
#32
116.80.6
117.4116.8
Auto16.1
Teleop89.2
End9.2
blue by 17.0
6003
#17
133.80.2
134.8134.6
Auto16.2
Teleop101.4
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed