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Red288
5190174.2
4561170.7
5607100.0
Blue301
2642163.7
2059149.6
6215103.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339297200400500288301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
174.21.0
173.2174.2
Auto21.4
Teleop130.0
End26.2
red by 10.5
163.70.6
163.1163.7
Auto18.4
Teleop124.6
End26.2
Second
170.70.8
169.9170.7
Auto25.6
Teleop123.3
End25.1
red by 21.2
149.60.2
149.4149.6
Auto18.0
Teleop124.0
End8.1
Third
5607
#26
100.00.5
99.6100.0
Auto15.4
Teleop79.3
End8.9
blue by 3.4
6215
#16
103.40.6
102.8103.4
Auto15.8
Teleop82.1
End9.1