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Red387
5190174.2
4561170.7
5607100.0
Blue167
6500130.0
2682135.8
6334138.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364290100200400500600700387167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
174.21.3
168.3169.6
Auto21.4
Teleop130.0
End26.2
red by 36.2
6334
#20
138.10.7
137.4138.1
Auto17.0
Teleop104.4
End21.5
Second
170.71.0
166.2167.2
Auto25.6
Teleop123.3
End25.1
red by 34.9
2682
#12
135.80.5
135.2135.8
Auto15.8
Teleop101.4
End22.9
Third
5607
#26
100.00.6
97.397.9
Auto15.4
Teleop79.3
End8.9
blue by 30.0
6500
#17
130.00.5
129.5130.0
Auto14.7
Teleop99.3
End18.2