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Red311
5511134.5
435125.2
6729123.6
Blue196
3796109.1
3822120.3
3336111.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2981750100400500600311196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
134.50.6
132.9133.5
Auto14.0
Teleop111.5
End7.2
red by 14.1
3822
#11
120.30.4
120.8120.3
Auto15.0
Teleop96.1
End7.3
Second
435
#3
125.20.3
124.5124.7
Auto16.0
Teleop100.5
End5.5
red by 14.2
3336
#14
111.10.0
111.1111.1
Auto16.0
Teleop87.7
End6.9
Third
6729
#18
123.60.1
123.9123.8
Auto14.3
Teleop91.8
End18.0
red by 14.5
3796
#15
109.10.7
109.8109.1
Auto13.8
Teleop89.9
End4.1