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Red105
642695.2
321599.9
2642163.7
Blue374
6334138.1
5762102.8
4561170.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2422750100200400500105374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.77.7
111.8119.5
Auto18.4
Teleop124.6
End26.2
blue by 7.0
170.79.4
111.5120.9
Auto25.6
Teleop123.3
End25.1
Second
3215
#31
99.97.9
84.692.5
Auto11.9
Teleop83.4
End5.0
blue by 38.1
6334
#20
138.10.4
120.2120.7
Auto17.0
Teleop104.4
End21.5
Third
6426
#27
95.28.6
76.985.5
Auto14.2
Teleop74.0
End7.8
blue by 7.6
5762
#30
102.88.9
73.282.1
Auto15.3
Teleop81.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed