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Red188
5762102.8
2640104.3
6004114.7
Blue319
651298.8
6215103.4
3459130.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2421990100300400500600188319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6004
#13
114.71.2
111.1109.9
Auto13.5
Teleop85.4
End18.7
blue by 15.3
130.02.4
107.9110.3
Auto15.4
Teleop105.3
End12.5
Second
2640
#23
104.32.0
111.1109.1
Auto10.8
Teleop87.8
End9.2
red by 0.9
6215
#16
103.40.9
90.191.0
Auto15.8
Teleop82.1
End9.1
Third
5762
#30
102.84.9
91.095.9
Auto15.3
Teleop81.6
End1.7
red by 3.9
6512
#28
98.80.5
94.895.3
Auto13.6
Teleop80.0
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed