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Red278
2059149.6
5518118.1
5919103.3
Blue139
4828102.9
6332103.3
5511134.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2462550100200300400500278139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.63.9
126.6130.5
Auto18.0
Teleop124.0
End8.1
red by 15.1
134.54.0
120.0124.0
Auto14.0
Teleop111.5
End7.2
Second
5518
#10
118.10.1
117.6117.7
Auto14.1
Teleop94.5
End10.2
red by 14.8
6332
#29
103.30.2
108.2108.4
Auto15.4
Teleop81.8
End6.1
Third
5919
#25
103.30.8
93.192.2
Auto13.8
Teleop85.6
End5.3
red by 0.4
102.91.7
102.0103.7
Auto17.0
Teleop77.8
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed