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Red345
6729123.6
4561170.7
3796109.1
Blue153
6332103.3
6334138.1
4291111.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions329206100300400500345153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.73.4
147.7151.1
Auto25.6
Teleop123.3
End25.1
red by 32.7
6334
#20
138.12.3
127.8130.1
Auto17.0
Teleop104.4
End21.5
Second
6729
#18
123.61.7
121.0122.6
Auto14.3
Teleop91.8
End18.0
red by 12.3
4291
#22
111.30.1
105.1105.0
Auto17.5
Teleop85.6
End12.2
Third
3796
#15
109.11.6
113.3111.7
Auto13.8
Teleop89.9
End4.1
red by 5.8
6332
#29
103.30.6
106.6105.9
Auto15.4
Teleop81.8
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed