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Red118
3737124.1
2682135.8
481682.8
Blue308
5511134.5
435125.2
6215103.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2252720100200300400500118308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2682
#12
135.81.5
130.5132.0
Auto15.8
Teleop101.4
End22.9
red by 1.3
134.52.2
125.7127.9
Auto14.0
Teleop111.5
End7.2
Second
3737
#19
124.11.3
121.3122.6
Auto14.7
Teleop97.0
End14.3
blue by 1.1
435
#3
125.21.7
119.1120.8
Auto16.0
Teleop100.5
End5.5
Third
4816
#33
82.81.2
84.783.5
Auto12.2
Teleop69.3
End4.8
blue by 20.7
6215
#16
103.41.3
97.298.5
Auto15.8
Teleop82.1
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed