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Red124
3822120.3
4828102.9
5518118.1
Blue20
3737124.1
435125.2
3336111.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25929910020040050012420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3822
#11
120.317.0
65.382.3
Auto15.0
Teleop96.1
End7.3
blue by 4.9
435
#3
125.214.0
92.7106.7
Auto16.0
Teleop100.5
End5.5
Second
5518
#10
118.111.3
93.0104.3
Auto14.1
Teleop94.5
End10.2
blue by 6.0
3737
#19
124.110.3
100.3110.6
Auto14.7
Teleop97.0
End14.3
Third
102.916.9
66.483.3
Auto17.0
Teleop77.8
End11.4
blue by 8.1
3336
#14
111.110.6
83.293.8
Auto16.0
Teleop87.7
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed