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Red104
5511134.5
435125.2
6729123.6
Blue363
2642163.7
2059149.6
6215103.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions259311100200400500600104363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
134.50.6
133.5134.0
Auto14.0
Teleop111.5
End7.2
blue by 29.3
163.70.5
161.4162.0
Auto18.4
Teleop124.6
End26.2
Second
435
#3
125.20.3
124.7125.0
Auto16.0
Teleop100.5
End5.5
blue by 24.3
149.60.1
149.3149.3
Auto18.0
Teleop124.0
End8.1
Third
6729
#18
123.60.0
123.8123.7
Auto14.3
Teleop91.8
End18.0
red by 20.1
6215
#16
103.40.5
101.1101.7
Auto15.8
Teleop82.1
End9.1