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Red159
5511134.5
435125.2
6729123.6
Blue408
2642163.7
2059149.6
6215103.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions250318100200400500600159408

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
134.50.4
134.0134.5
Auto14.0
Teleop111.5
End7.2
blue by 29.3
163.70.6
162.0162.5
Auto18.4
Teleop124.6
End26.2
Second
435
#3
125.20.2
125.0125.2
Auto16.0
Teleop100.5
End5.5
blue by 24.3
149.60.0
149.3149.3
Auto18.0
Teleop124.0
End8.1
Third
6729
#18
123.60.1
123.7123.6
Auto14.3
Teleop91.8
End18.0
red by 20.1
6215
#16
103.40.6
101.7102.2
Auto15.8
Teleop82.1
End9.1