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Red222
2655171.5
689999.4
4829105.9
Blue136
3506136.2
6003118.0
6004117.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304263100200400500222136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.50.8
164.5165.2
Auto20.0
Teleop131.7
End19.0
red by 35.3
3506
#12
136.214.7
86.7101.4
Auto15.4
Teleop106.7
End14.5
Second
4829
#21
105.97.7
83.891.4
Auto14.4
Teleop84.5
End9.4
blue by 12.0
6003
#31
118.07.8
90.998.7
Auto14.4
Teleop88.8
End14.9
Third
6899
#26
99.410.1
77.787.9
Auto12.1
Teleop83.4
End1.9
blue by 18.2
6004
#29
117.60.6
115.8116.4
Auto14.2
Teleop83.1
End24.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed