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Red281
7029101.7
3459144.4
5160141.3
Blue237
5544123.0
4290140.1
900139.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27329805001,0001,5002,000281237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144.40.9
135.4136.3
Auto17.4
Teleop112.3
End16.1
red by 4.4
4290
#14
140.15.9
114.4120.3
Auto13.8
Teleop109.8
End16.5
Second
141.36.3
116.9123.2
Auto16.8
Teleop108.3
End18.2
red by 1.8
900
#11
139.60.4
123.5123.8
Auto13.8
Teleop106.7
End24.8
Third
7029
#23
101.74.2
86.991.0
Auto18.3
Teleop81.3
End3.9
blue by 21.3
5544
#19
123.05.5
112.6118.1
Auto18.5
Teleop97.4
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed