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Qual 292018 NC District UNC Pembroke Event
Red384
2059177.8
3229134.5
900139.6
Blue298
4795162.3
3402109.1
6894112.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330275100150200250300350400450500384298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2059
#3
177.81.9
154.3→156.1
Auto18.7
Teleop145.8
End14.9
red by 15.5
4795
#5
162.32.1
148.6→150.7
Auto23.3
Teleop119.1
End19.6
Second
900
#11
139.60.3
123.8→124.1
Auto13.8
Teleop106.7
End24.8
red by 27.2
6894
#20
112.33.6
105.1→108.7
Auto10.7
Teleop90.9
End11.6
Third
3229
#13
134.55.6
122.8→128.4
Auto18.4
Teleop96.6
End16.8
red by 25.4
3402
#35
109.10.7
122.3→121.6
Auto13.5
Teleop90.7
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed