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Red50
621487.3
6500131.0
726590.4
Blue414
3661101.7
2059177.8
6004117.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24129510020040050414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6500
#17
131.00.3
136.3136.0
Auto16.0
Teleop101.2
End14.9
blue by 46.8
177.82.3
156.1158.5
Auto18.7
Teleop145.8
End14.9
Second
7265
#30
90.41.7
95.196.8
Auto13.3
Teleop71.9
End7.3
blue by 27.2
6004
#29
117.60.8
116.0115.2
Auto14.2
Teleop83.1
End24.1
Third
6214
#37
87.31.0
99.3100.3
Auto14.1
Teleop69.9
End5.3
blue by 14.5
3661
#32
101.70.3
97.897.5
Auto13.0
Teleop78.8
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed