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Red350
4795162.3
3459144.4
2682155.0
Blue194
3506136.2
6240102.3
2655171.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364273100200300400500350194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.31.8
150.7152.5
Auto23.3
Teleop119.1
End19.6
blue by 9.3
171.50.4
168.6169.0
Auto20.0
Teleop131.7
End19.0
Second
155.02.0
139.2141.2
Auto16.0
Teleop114.4
End22.0
red by 18.8
3506
#12
136.24.0
122.9126.9
Auto15.4
Teleop106.7
End14.5
Third
144.40.6
137.5138.0
Auto17.4
Teleop112.3
End16.1
red by 42.1
6240
#24
102.30.7
99.8100.5
Auto15.9
Teleop73.7
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed