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Red218
6894112.3
3196119.4
5544123.0
Blue176
3229134.5
6004117.6
5854106.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289288180220240260280300320218176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5544
#19
123.014.9
84.799.6
Auto18.5
Teleop97.4
End10.7
blue by 11.5
3229
#13
134.515.5
78.894.3
Auto18.4
Teleop96.6
End16.8
Second
3196
#16
119.414.4
88.9103.3
Auto14.9
Teleop97.5
End4.5
red by 1.7
6004
#29
117.61.1
114.7115.8
Auto14.2
Teleop83.1
End24.1
Third
6894
#20
112.326.9
104.777.7
Auto10.7
Teleop90.9
End11.6
red by 5.9
5854
#33
106.514.1
91.9106.0
Auto13.1
Teleop89.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed