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Red118
4829105.9
5544123.0
3506136.2
Blue185
3796105.7
4935135.6
5518120.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2502410100200300400500118185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3506
#12
136.21.6
126.9128.5
Auto15.4
Teleop106.7
End14.5
red by 0.6
135.63.8
119.0122.8
Auto20.3
Teleop103.6
End10.5
Second
5544
#19
123.03.3
122.3125.5
Auto18.5
Teleop97.4
End10.7
red by 2.1
5518
#10
120.90.2
121.5121.2
Auto15.0
Teleop98.7
End10.1
Third
4829
#21
105.92.0
102.8104.8
Auto14.4
Teleop84.5
End9.4
red by 0.2
3796
#15
105.70.4
104.0103.6
Auto16.5
Teleop83.1
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed