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Red125
3402109.1
3822110.7
6240102.3
Blue192
3506136.2
333699.2
4290140.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1943170100400500600125192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3822
#25
110.70.8
113.4112.5
Auto14.2
Teleop91.2
End2.6
blue by 29.4
4290
#14
140.11.8
133.7135.5
Auto13.8
Teleop109.8
End16.5
Second
3402
#35
109.13.7
121.4117.7
Auto13.5
Teleop90.7
End5.9
blue by 27.1
3506
#12
136.21.4
128.5127.0
Auto15.4
Teleop106.7
End14.5
Third
6240
#24
102.30.7
100.7101.4
Auto15.9
Teleop73.7
End11.8
red by 3.1
3336
#34
99.20.9
103.8102.8
Auto16.1
Teleop77.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed